The Senate may turn. The House, probably not. If anything, Republicans are expected to expand on their current 234-201 advantage (including vacancies).
But with great fluctuation in many of the races, there is no shortage of seats that may change parties on Tuesday.
Here are our Top 30 House seats most likely to fall to the other party on Nov. 4th. We’re not saying they will. But these are the most likely.
(Republicans listed first; incumbents in CAPS)
ARIZONA 01 — Andy Tobin vs. ANN KIRKPATRICK
ARIZONA 02 — Martha McSally vs. RON BARBER
ARKANSAS 02 (open: Tim Griffin (R) running for lt. gov) — French Hill vs. Patrick Hays
ARKANSAS 04 (open: Tom Cotton (R) running for Senate) — Bruce Westerman vs. James Lee Witt
CALIFORNIA 07 — Doug Ose vs. AMI BERA
CALIFORNIA 26 — Jeff Gorell vs. JULIA BROWNLEY
CALIFORNIA 31 (open; Gary Miller (R) retiring) — Paul Chabot vs. Pete Aguilar
CALIFORNIA 36 — Brian Nestande vs. RAUL RUIZ
CALIFORNIA 52 — Carl DeMaio vs. SCOTT PETERS
COLORADO 06 — MIKE COFFMAN vs. Andrew Romanoff
FLORIDA 02 — STEVE SOUTHERLAND vs. Gwen Graham
FLORIDA 26 — Carlos Curbelo vs. JOE GARCIA
GEORGIA 12 — Rick Allen vs. JOHN BARROW
HAWAII 01 (open: Colleen Hanabusa (D) lost Senate primary) — Charles Djou vs. Mark Takai
ILLINOIS 10 — Bob Dold vs. BRAD SCHNEIDER
ILLINOIS 12 — Mike Bost vs. BILL ENYART
IOWA 01 (open: Bruce Braley (D) running for Senate) — Rod Blum vs. Pat Murphy
IOWA 02 — Mariannette Miller-Meeks vs. DAVE LOEBSACK
MINNESOTA 07 — Torrey Westrom vs. COLLIN PETERSON
MINNESOTA 08 — Stewart Mills vs. RICK NOLAN
NEBRASKA 02 — LEE TERRY vs. Brad Ashford
NEW HAMPSHIRE 01 — Frank Guinta vs. CAROL SHEA-PORTER
NEW YORK 01 — Lee Zeldin vs. TIM BISHOP
NEW YORK 11 — MICHAEL GRIMM vs. Domenic Recchia
NEW YORK 18 — Nan Hayworth vs. SEAN MALONEY
NEW YORK 21 (open: Bill Owens (D) retiring) — Elise Stefanik vs. Aaron Woolf
NORTH CAROLINA 07 (open: Mike McIntyre (D) retiring) — David Rouzer vs. Jonathan Barfield
TEXAS 23 — Will Hurd vs. PETE GALLEJO
UTAH 04 (open: Jim Matheson (D) retiring) — Mia Love vs. Doug Owens
WEST VIRGINIA 03 — Evan Jenkins vs. NICK RAHALL
Honorable mention: AZ 09, CA 21, IL 17, IA 03, KS 02, KS 03, ME 02, MA 06, MI 11, NV 04, NJ 03, NY 19, NY 24, PA 06, VA 10, WV 02.